Atlas Edge Allocator — discovery + validation pipeline
The operating room for Strategy Arena's edge pipeline: Atlas finds statistically hot cells, Monte Carlo decides what deserves trust, allocators compare portfolio rules, and bots observe in paper/shadow mode.
What Atlas measures
Metrics published for each strategy × asset cell before allocator promotion.
| Metric | Description | Validation gate |
|---|---|---|
| Sharpe rolling | Risk-adjusted return rolling window | > 0.5 |
| Max drawdown | Worst cumulative historical loss | < 30% |
| Win rate | % positive trades | > 40% (except trend-following) |
| MC p5 PnL | 5th percentile over 1000 Monte Carlo simulations | > 0 |
| Robustness score | Result stability under noise (0–1) | > 0.6 |
| Drift | Backtest vs live paper gap | < 2σ |
Top validated cells (latest audit)
Strategy × asset pairs passing Atlas filter (Sharpe > 0.5, min 20 trades). MC status enriched when available.
| Strategy | Asset | Sharpe | MC p5 | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading Atlas cells… | ||||
Last updated: 2026-06-11
Opportunity Queue
Tier 1 is validated evidence. Tier 2 is Atlas discovery research with explicit small-sample warnings.
Tier 1 - MC Validated Opportunities
Only cells that passed Monte Carlo CV and are tracked by live-results.
| Rank | Asset / Strategy | Sharpe p5 | Mean Sharpe | Live trades | Live return | Status | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading MC validated opportunities... | |||||||
Tier 2 - Atlas Discoveries
High static Sharpe cells. Useful research queue, not evidence until MC CV confirms them.
| Rank | Asset / Strategy | Bucket | Sharpe | PnL | Trades | Drawdown | MC status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switch to "Show all" to inspect Atlas-only discoveries. | |||||||
| Cell | Sharpe p5 | Live trades | Status | Position |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading MC results... | ||||
| Asset | Best portfolio | PnL 7d | Edge vs equal | Variants |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading allocator comparison... | ||||
Public artifacts
Atlas publishes validation snapshots for transparency and reproducibility.
- Strategy Arena global stats (JSON)
- MC framework details (JSON)
- Atlas recommend recap (JSON API)
- Atlas snapshot CSV (coming soon)