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🔮 MISSIONS

Simulation historique uniquement

BTC / PAXG / USDC

Allocation dynamique · 1 000 USDC

Decision a la cloture, execution a l’ouverture suivante. 500 bougies communes closes au maximum. Aucun ordre reel.

Chargement...

PAXG est de l’or tokenise, pas de l’or physique detenu directement. USDC : rendement modele de 0 %, risque de depeg et d’emetteur. Frais et slippage par jambe. Une simulation ne garantit aucun profit.

₿ ⚔️ 🥇

BITCOIN vs GOLD

Or numerique vs Or reel — Ratio live, correlation et cycles de transfert de richesse
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BTC / GOLD RATIO
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₿ BTC PRICE
🥇 GOLD PRICE
BTC/GOLD RATIO EVOLUTION
Detecting cycle phase...
RELATIVE STRENGTH (BTC vs GOLD)
50%
₿ BTC dominates 🥇 Gold dominates
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BTC VOLATILITY
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GOLD VOLATILITY
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CORRELATION
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BTC STRATEGIES
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GOLD STRATEGIES
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BTC TOP STRAT

💰 CYCLES DE TRANSFERT DE RICHESSE

Markets follow capital rotation cycles. When institutional investors take profits on one asset, they transfer wealth to another. Understanding these cycles is key to anticipating major moves.

The BTC/Gold ratio reveals these rotations: when the ratio rises sharply, capital flows from traditional safe-havens (gold) into risk assets (BTC). When it falls, money exits crypto back into gold — the ultimate flight to safety.

🟢 PHASE 1: RISQUE ON
Capital flows into BTC. Gold stagnates. Ratio rises. Euphoria builds. "BTC is the new gold"
🟡 PHASE 2: DISTRIBUTION
Smart money takes BTC profits. Ratio peaks. Gold starts to move. Whales rotate quietly.
🔴 PHASE 3: RISQUE OFF
BTC corrects. Gold surges as safe-haven. Ratio drops fast. Fear dominates. "BTC is dead"
🔵 PHASE 4: ACCUMULATION
BTC bottoms. Smart money accumulates cheap BTC. Gold plateaus. Ratio stabilizes. New cycle begins.

📐 FORMULES CLES

BTC/Gold Ratio = BTC Price / Gold Price per oz → How many ounces of gold one Bitcoin buys

Correlation = Pearson correlation of daily returns → +1 = move together, -1 = inverse, 0 = independent

Relative Strength = (BTC return - Gold return) → Positive = BTC outperforms, Negative = Gold outperforms

Volatility Ratio = BTC vol / Gold vol → Shows how much riskier BTC is vs Gold (typically 5-10x)

More formulas coming soon — Sharpe comparison, rolling beta, Z-score divergence...

Want to understand the math behind BTC vs Gold?
🧮 The Mathematicians of Money — Choueifaty, Herlin, Mandelbrot & more →
Educatif uniquement. Pas de conseil financier. Historical patterns do not guarantee future results.

BTC vs Gold : correlation en temps reel

Cette page analyse la correlation entre Bitcoin et l'Or en temps reel. Basee sur les travaux d'Yves Choueifaty (lag 200 jours, multiplicateur x15) et Philippe Herlin (actifs complementaires). Graphiques de correlation glissante, ratios, et analyse des divergences historiques.