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World Arena audit

Winners still need verification.

This page explains World Arena guardrails: low trades, extreme returns, near-perfect survival and the path from candidate to promotable.

9

native arenas audited

195

strategy × arena rows

6

items to review before promotion

Promotion Rules

Candidate

The strategy exists in the arena but does not have enough evidence for promotion yet.

Needs review

Low trades, extreme return or drawdown review. Interesting result, not production-ready yet.

Promotable

Positive alpha, enough trades, acceptable drawdown and solid Conquest Score in the snapshot.

Checks

CheckStatusSeverityDetail
native_assets_present pass info 9 native World Arena assets detected.
strategy_rows_present pass info 195 total strategy rows across native arenas.
native_roster_balance warning medium Native roster sizes range from 9 to 72; BTC can dominate comparisons if not labeled separately.
champion_metric_completeness warning medium Champion metrics need review for: bitcoin.
champion_trade_count warning medium Champions below 20 trades: cac40, dax, eurusd, oil, silver.
extreme_return_review warning medium Extreme champion returns need OOS/period review: silver.
champion_reproducibility_artifacts pass info Every native champion exposes strategy parameters and an equity curve.
state_cache_alignment warning high Current cache and saved state Buy & Hold differ by more than 1 point for: cac40, dax, eurusd, gold, nasdaq, oil, silver, sp500.
hospital_threshold_review warning medium Many arenas show near-100% survival: cac40, dax, eurusd, gold, nasdaq, oil, sp500.

Arenas to Review

AssetChampionAlphaTradesFlags
Bitcoin Deep Shadow +38.49 40 drawdown_zero_or_missing
CAC 40 GA CAC 40 Momentum +27.21 13 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchlow_trade_count_under_20all_or_nearly_all_survived
DAX GA DAX Conquest +17.13 18 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchlow_trade_count_under_20all_or_nearly_all_survived
EUR/USD GA EUR/USD Momentum +2.15 8 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchlow_trade_count_under_20all_or_nearly_all_survived
Gold GA Gold Mean Reversion +28.80 28 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchall_or_nearly_all_survived
Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq 100 Buy & Hold +0.00 0 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchall_or_nearly_all_survivedno_strategy_beats_buy_hold
Oil Oil Trend Conquest v2 +20.58 7 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchlow_trade_count_under_20all_or_nearly_all_survived
Silver GA Silver Robust +50.55 16 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchlow_trade_count_under_20extreme_return_requires_oos_review
S&P 500 S&P 500 Buy & Hold +0.00 0 state_cache_buy_hold_mismatchall_or_nearly_all_survivedno_strategy_beats_buy_hold