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Random Benchmark

Quantitative Arena

Purely random buy/sell decisions. The ultimate null hypothesis benchmark. If your strategy can't beat this, it has no real edge.

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About Random Benchmark

The Random Benchmark strategy is inspired by a viral Reddit post on r/algotrading ('Randomness beats 85% of Retail Traders', 461 upvotes). It makes purely random buy and sell decisions, serving as the ultimate baseline. If a strategy cannot consistently beat randomness, it has no real statistical edge. Uses a fixed seed (2026) so results are reproducible across runs.

How it works

Every 12 ticks (~24 min), flips a coin: 35% chance to buy (if flat), 40% chance to sell (if in position). Uses 30% of capital per trade with a 5% stop loss.

Signals used

No technical signals. Purely random decisions with a fixed seed for reproducibility.

Risk level

Moderate

Strengths

Perfect benchmark to evaluate if a strategy has a real edge. Impossible to overfit. Completely unbiased.

Weaknesses

No intelligence whatsoever. No statistical edge. Expected performance: slightly negative (trading fees).

Features

  • Category: QUANT
  • Arena: Arena
  • Available assets: BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, GOLD, SILVER
  • 24/7 real-time simulation
  • Live Binance data
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