🎯
KELLY PURE
SIMULATION · PAPER $10K
BOOTING…
—
THESIS: Simple breakout strategy. Sizing = strict Kelly formula from its own real history.
✦ MANIFESTO ✦
My edge is computed, not felt. Kelly says: size = (winrate × avg_win − lossrate × avg_loss) / avg_win. No more, no less. Emotions are bugs to debug.
🗣 INNER VOICE
« Is my edge real or am I overfitting? »
asked before every decision
🧬 DNA TRAITS
Mathematical Rigor
100/100
Backtesting Religion
90/100
Quantitative Purity
95/100
⚡ QUIRKS & TICS
-
▸Kelly capped at 25% of capital
-
▸Skips if Kelly < 5% (no edge)
-
▸Breakouts only — nothing else matters
All-time P&L
—
vs $10,000 initial
Dormancy
—
% of ticks in HOLD
> RULE STACK — live evaluation —
—